Bucs, Cardinals, Trying to Accentuate Positive
Football Betting Lines
11/02/2007 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - When it comes to their seasonal prospects, teams in the
National Football League often walk the fine line between unbridled optimism
and sheer panic.
For evidence of that fact, take the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Arizona Cardinals, who will meet this Sunday at Raymond James Stadium.
The homestanding Buccaneers were not believed by many to be an NFC contender
during the preseason, and a season-opening 20-6 loss in Seattle seemed to
confirm that status. But three straight wins and the struggles of the Falcons,
Panthers, Saints quickly changed the stakes for Jon Gruden's team, which was
thrust into the position of front-runner in the NFC South just one year after
a 4-12 disaster.
But the Buccaneers have not played that role well, having dropped three of
their last four, including a narrow home loss to Jacksonville (24-23) last
Sunday. Still, the collective fortunes of their division brethren give Tampa
Bay an excellent chance of re-claiming sole possession of the NFC South lead
with a win over Arizona (4-3 Carolina is at Tennessee). Hence the notion of
optimism.
A loss, however, could send the Buccaneers into the bye with a three-game
losing streak and a spot in third place in the division behind the Panthers
and currently streaking Saints, who are 3-4 and at home against the Jaguars
Sunday. Thus the potential for panic.
The Arizona Cardinals find themselves in an amazingly similar situation as
their Week 9 opponent. Arizona also came into the year with low outside
expectations following a 5-11 campaign, also seemed to arrive ahead of
schedule when they began the year at 3-2, and also saw their prospects take a
hit with back-to-back losses, to the Panthers (25-10) and Redskins (21-19).
And, just like the Bucs, the Cardinals can improve their standing and their
chances with a win on Sunday. Ken Whisenhunt's crew enters play just a game
back of 4-3 Seattle (at 4-3 Cleveland in Week 9) in the mediocre-at-best NFC
West, with three of its next four games coming within the friendly confines of
University of Phoenix Stadium.
Who will walk off the field Sunday drinking from a Gatorade cup that is half-
full?
SERIES HISTORY
Arizona has an 8-7 edge in its all-time series with Tampa Bay, breaking a
deadlock in the series with a 12-7 home win when the teams last met, in Week
17 of the 2004 season. The Buccaneers won the previous meeting, a 19-18 nail-
biter in Florida in 1997. The Cardinals are 0-2 in Tampa Bay since last
winning there in 1988.
Gruden is 1-2 against Arizona in his career, including 1-1 while with Oakland
(1998-2001). The Cardinals' Whisenhunt will be meeting both Gruden and the
Bucs for the first time as a head coach.
WHEN THE CARDINALS HAVE THE BALL
Arizona saw its season flash before its collective eyes against Carolina back
in Week 6, when quarterback Kurt Warner (883 passing yards, 6 TD, 3 INT) went
down with ligament damage in his non-throwing elbow in a loss. But Warner, who
was already subbing for injured opening day starter Matt Leinart (out for the
year, collarbone) threw on a brace and gave it a go two weeks ago against
Washington, throwing for 282 yards on 27-of-41 passing with two touchdowns and
three turnovers in a comeback that ultimately fell short. Warner is one week
healthier after last week's bye, and will also have both Larry Fitzgerald (46
receptions, 1 TD) and Anquan Boldin (30 receptions, 5 TD) at his disposal for
a second straight week. Boldin returned to the lineup in Week 7 after missing
three games with a hip injury, counting two touchdown catches among his eight
grabs. Fitzgerald had six receptions for a game-high 87 yards in the loss. The
Arizona running game has come alive with the power-football-favoring
Whisenhunt at the controls of the offense, averaging 103.1 ground yards per
game behind the running of Edgerrin James (603 rushing yards, 4 TD). James has
gone over 80 yards in five of his seven starts in 2007.
Tampa Bay's overall strength has been on defense this year, where Monte
Kiffin's unit ranks second against the pass (173.1 yards per game) and eighth
overall (297.6 yards per game). Still, the Bucs had their missteps in that
area last week, allowing Jacksonville quarterback Quinn Gray to engineer a
game-winning eight-play, 53-yard drive that culminated in a brilliant one-
handed touchdown catch by Matt Jones in the fourth quarter. Later, on a
critical 3rd-and-6 play from the Jacksonville 7-yard line with 3:17 left, the
Bucs allowed Gray to complete an 18-yard dump-off to fullback Greg Jones, a
conversion that moved the chains in the clock in ways that proved fatal to the
Tampa cause. Complicating matters for the Bucs was a knee injury that has
knocked cornerback Torrie Cox out for the year, and an Achilles problem that
figures to sideline Greg Spires for a few weeks. The team's most consistent
defensive players this year have been middle linebacker and top tackler
Barrett Ruud (78 tackles, 1 INT), multi-purpose defensive end Jovan Haye (36
tackles, 4 sacks), and cornerbacks Ronde Barber (33 tackles) and Phillip
Buchanon (34 tackles, 2 INT).
WHEN THE BUCCANEERS HAVE THE BALL
Quarterback Jeff Garcia (1771 passing yards, 8 TD, 3 INT), lauded for his
efficiency and an aversion to mistakes in each of his first seven starts in a
Tampa uniform, was neither efficient nor mistake-free against Jacksonville
last week. Garcia completed just 19-of-41 passes in the loss, also throwing
his first three interceptions of the year after entering the day with 189 pass
attempts and no picks in 2007. Two of the INTs were absolute killers, the
first going the other way for an Aaron Glenn touchdown in the second quarter,
and the final coming on 4th-and-10 on Tampa's ill-fated final drive. Garcia's
45.5 passer rating was his worst of the campaign to date. Joey Galloway (33
receptions, 4 TD) and Ike Hilliard (39 receptions, 1 TD) have been Garcia's
top targets all year, and Maurice Stovall (6 receptions, 1 TD) managed a
career-high five catches for 47 yards last week after an ankle injury to
Michael Clayton placed him in a more prominent role. Clayton is expected to
miss the Arizona game as well. On the ground last week, starter Earnest Graham
(330 rushing yards, 3 TD, 24 receptions) posted 62 yards on 14 carries, and
ex-Chief Michael Bennett (45 rushing yards, 1 TD) had his first truly positive
day as a Buc when he scored a touchdown on a 19-yard run in the third quarter.
The Cardinals have not received a great deal of national accolades for their
defensive play, but enter Week 9 ranked a respectable 10th in the NFL overall
(304 yards per game) and ninth against the pass (195.6 yards per game). That
unit will be in better shape this week if playmaking linebacker Karlos Dansby
(44 tackles, 2.5 sacks), who missed the Washington game with a sprained knee,
can return for the Tampa game. Dansby is considered questionable for Sunday.
Dansby, fellow linebackers Gerald Hayes (42 tackles, 1 sack) and Calvin Pace
(35 tackles, 2 sack, 1 INT), and defensive tackle Darnell Dockett (25 tackles,
6 sacks) have been the most reliable members of the front seven this season.
Dockett has more than one-third of Arizona's 17 sacks on the year. A young and
talented secondary could be the strength of the Cardinal defense. Safety
Adrian Wilson (41 tackles, 2 INT) is widely considered to be team's best
defensive player, and cornerback Roderick Hood (24 tackles, 2 INT) has shown
playmaking ability in his first year with the team since arriving from
Philadelphia as a free agent this past offseason.
FANTASY FOCUS
Arizona has the larger number of sure-fire fantasy starters in this game, with
Warner, Fitzgerald, Boldin, and probably James appearing in lineups in most
leagues. Still, be aware that Tampa has been stingy against the pass this
year, so don't expect the Cardinal passing game to move with its usual
proficiency. On the Tampa side, it's backup central. Garcia and Graham will
give you something but won't run wild, and Galloway is hit-or-miss. Neither
kicker in this game is a particularly enticing start either. The defenses are
better than you think, but don't look for any five-turnover or seven-sack
assault kind of games for either.
OVERALL ANALYSIS
Given the state of both of their divisions, neither team can realistically
look at this game as a must-win, though both would like to halt their recent
slides before they get out of hand. Tampa is the team that should have
slightly more urgency in that regard. Losing two straight home games prior to
a bye week would have spirits awfully low in and around the organization, and
three of the Buccaneers' next four are on the road. Arizona, meanwhile,
returns to Glendale next week to start a four-game stretch that includes
seemingly winnable home games against the Lions, 49ers, and Browns, so it's
hardly desperation time. In a game that's fairly evenly-matched, except that
situation to aide Tampa Bay's concentration level, as Garcia and company make
a couple of big plays late that help wrap the game up for the Bucs.
Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: Buccaneers 26, Cardinals 14
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Super Bowl 2009, the Arizona Cardinals and the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Let’s take a look at the Super Bowl 2009 betting odds and the betting line and figure out where they’ve been and where they are going to go.
MySportsbook.com put up the Super Bowl 2009 betting odds late on Sunday night with the Pittsburgh Steelers favored by 6.5 points and a total betting line at 47.5 points.
Since then, however, the Super Bowl 2009 betting odds have seen a good deal of movement and you’ll want to be on top of where they are likely to move to make sure you get the best line value for the big game.
Since opening, the Super Bowl 2009 betting lines went to Steelers -7 in the span of roughly 3 hours but were quickly bought back down just minutes later to 6.5 again.
After that is took about 5-6 more hours before the betting line went back to -7 where it has sat for a while now and is likely to remain. The opening betting total of 47.5 was bet down right after the line became available and went to 47 within minutes.
Roughly a day later it has been bet even further down to the 46.5 tally it currently is set at.
Roughly 60% of gamblers seem to be on the Cardinals here so the point spread will be bet down and a 7.5 would not last very long at all with many taking the early 6.5 in hopes of finding a potential middle in the Super Bowl 2009 betting odds.
If you like Arizona and see a 7.5, I’d take it as soon as possible because it’s unlikely to last. For Pittsburgh backers, the -7 might be the best you’ll be able to find but a 6.5 is definitely possible close to game time.
Regarding the Super Bowl 2009 betting odds for the total, most tracked gamblers are already on the over and with those who took the under 47.5 already securing a middle on the over 46.5, the only way I see it moving is back up to 47 so if you like the over, I’d recommend betting now.
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Elite 8 NCAA Tournament Betting at online sportsbook MySportsbook.com
In what should be an outstanding Saturday of March Madness betting action, the top four teams in the South and West Regions square off in what should be extremely close match-ups. Three of the four teams are coming off extremely close games on Thursday evening, only UCLA won semi comfortably over Pitt 64-55.
Ohio State is coming off their second game in a row where in all reality they should have lost. Of course that doesn’t matter now since the name of the game is “survive and advance” but as the tournament continues, they can’t afford to keep getting down to their opponents early. Kansas also avoided a scare by holding off a scrappy Southern Illinois squad. In the third thrilling game of the evening Memphis pulled off the minor upset (+3.5) despite being the higher seed to Texas A&M.
Although the spreads are fairly small for Saturday’s games, MySportsbook.com continue to bet against the underdogs. Despite OSU’s two scares, 86% of the “betting public” feels the Buckeyes (-1.5) have what it takes to make the Final Four. In fact, so much of the early money is on OSU that the line has already moved from -1 to -1.5. In the second game of the doubleheader, Kansas and their high-powered offense are 2 point favorites as they take on UCLA and their effective defense. About 63% of the early money thus far is once again backing the favorites. If those percentages stay that high, don’t be surprised if this line moves as well. If you like Kansas (-2) you might want to jump on it early.
Memphis vs. Ohio State
Both squads were involved in thrillers on Thursday evening and should come out fired up. OSU can ill afford to get behind early like they did versus their previous two opponents (Xavier, Tennessee). Greg Oden needs to stay out of foul trouble; the Buckeyes are a completely different team when he is on the court. Memphis definitely has the athleticism and length to match-up with OSU. Of Memphis’ five leading minute earners, the shortest of the bunch is 6’5”. Each team has a very effective defense; Memphis surrenders 62.3 PPG whereas the Buckeyes give up only 61 PPG. With those type of numbers, it isn’t surprising that Memphis covered the UNDER almost 69% of the time this season. As a favorite, OSU has covered the UNDER almost 66% of the time over the last three seasons. The major concern for Memphis which is magnifies this time of the year is their brutal foul shooting (62%). This season, OSU is 17-11 ATS versus teams with a winning record and 7-2 ATS in all tournament games. Memphis has been an extremely reliable cover in tournament play in recent years with a 23-8 ATS record over the last three seasons.
UCLA vs. Kansas
In the second game of Saturday’s doubleheader, UCLA will play in a role which they are very unfamiliar with that of the underdog. Only twice this season have they been getting points from the handicappers and both times they covered. Over the last three seasons UCLA is a reliable 23-7 ATS in this unfamiliar role. UCLA has not fared well against Big 12 opponents recently going 1-7 ATS since 1997. Giving up only 59.6 PPG, UCLA will definitely look to do what they do best: keep this game as low scoring as possible. Their defense has been especially tough during the tournament. UCLA opponents have been able to muster up only 48.7 PPG while shooting a combined 34.5% from the field. UCLA definitely has a challenge at hand with a Kansas team that is capable of putting points on the board in bunches. As a team, they average 79 PPG and shoot an impressive 49.6% from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc. During the tournament Kansas has been “lights out” from the field having shot 56.2%.
With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action. Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”. By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.
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